Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Small Area Denial

Taiwan can't control the Taiwan Strait. But they can aspire to denying control of the strait to China long enough to mobilize and deploy their own forces to resist invasion, and to call on Japan and America to intervene.

The Taiwanese, as I've mentioned before, are looking to build a large force of smaller craft to fight China's fleet in the Taiwan Strait:

The Hsiung-feng 3 is being installed on destroyers and frigates and now the new 500 ton stealth corvettes. For these ships the designers are being asked to get as many of the large (for a 500 ton ship) Hsiung-feng 3s on it as possible (up to eight). In addition there will be eight of the smaller Hsiung-feng 2. These new corvettes are the continuation of a trend in the Taiwanese Navy, which sees small ships carrying lots of anti-ship missiles as the key to success against the Chinese navy.

Taiwanese missiles for these ships will complement land-based anti-ship missiles and missiles that can reach inland to strike Chinese bases. Anti-access and area denial--the approach China seeks to keep the United States Navy at bay long enough to achieve objectives close to China--could work against the Chinese, too, in the Taiwan Strait.

And if we back the Taiwanese up with long-range anti-ship missiles, smart bombs, aircraft-delivered anti-ship mines, even longer-ranged anti-ship missiles, and even submarine-launched missiles (especially these) we might deny the Taiwan Strait to China for long enough to deny the Chinese a quick win.

I am heartened that Taiwan is trying to buy time. China needs a fast win to prevent bad things from unfolding over time. Don't give the Chinese confidence that they can achieve a fast win.